Model-Based Evaluation of Strategies to Control Brucellosis in China.

ABSTRACT: Brucellosis, the most common zoonotic disease worldwide, represents a great threat to animal husbandry with the potential to cause enormous economic losses. Brucellosis has become a major public health problem in China, and the number of human brucellosis cases has increased dramatically in recent years. In order to evaluate different intervention strategies to curb brucellosis transmission in China, a novel mathematical model with a general indirect transmission incidence rate was presented. By comparing the results of three models using national human disease data and 11 provinces with high case numbers, the best fitted model with standard incidence was used to investigate the potential for future outbreaks. Estimated basic reproduction numbers were highly heterogeneous, varying widely a

SUBMITTER: Li MT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5369131 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature