Climate shocks and rural-urban migration in Mexico: Exploring nonlinearities and thresholds.

ABSTRACT: Adverse climatic conditions may differentially drive human migration patterns between rural and urban areas, with implications for changes in population composition and density, access to infrastructure and resources, and the delivery of essential goods and services. However, there is little empirical evidence to support this notion. In this study, we investigate the relationship between climate shocks and migration between rural and urban areas within Mexico. We combine individual records from the 2000 and 2010 Mexican censuses (n=683,518) with high-resolution climate data from Terra Populus that are linked to census data at the municipality level (n=2,321). We measure climate shocks as monthly deviation from a 30-year (1961-1990) long-term climate normal period, and uncover important non

SUBMITTER: Nawrotzki RJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5395290 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature