Predicting the potential distribution in China of Euwallacea fornicates (Eichhoff) under current and future climate conditions.

ABSTRACT: Euwallacea fornicatus (Eichhoff) is an important forest pest that has caused serious damage in America and Vietnam. In 2014, it attacked forests of Acer trialatum in the Yunnan province of China, creating concern in China's Forestry Bureau. We used the CLIMEX model to predict and compare the potential distribution for E. fornicates in China under current (1981-2010) and projected climate conditions (2011-2040) using one scenario (RCP8.5) and one global climate model (GCM), CSIRO-Mk3-6-0. Under both current and future climate conditions, the model predicted E. fornicates to be mainly distributed in the south of China. Comparing distributions under both climate conditions showed that the area of potential distribution was projected to increase (mainly because of an increase in favourable hab

SUBMITTER: Ge X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5430415 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature