Dataset Information

Longitudinal and postural changes of blood pressure predict dementia: the Malmo Preventive Project.

ABSTRACT: The role of blood pressure (BP) changes in dementia is debatable. We aimed to analyse how resting and postural BP changes relate to incident dementia over a long-term follow-up. In the prospective population-based Malmö Preventive Project, 18,240 study participants (mean age: 45 ± 7 years, 63% male) were examined between 1974 and 1992 with resting and standing BP measurement, and re-examined between 2002 and 2006 at mean age of 68 ± 6 years with resting BP. A total of 428 participants (2.3%) were diagnosed with dementia through Dec 31, 2009. The association of resting and postural BP changes with risk of dementia was studied using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models controlling for traditional risk factors. Diastolic BP (DBP) decrease on standing indicated higher risk of dementia [Hazard ratio (HR) per 10 mmHg: 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.44, p = 0.036], which was mainly driven by increased risk in normotensive individuals. Higher systolic (SBP) and diastolic BP at re-examination was associated with lower risk of dementia (HR per 10 mmHg: 0.94; 95% CI 0.89-0.99, p = 0.011; and 0.87; 0.78-0.96, p = 0.006, respectively). Extreme decrease in SBP/DBP between baseline and re-examination (4th quartile; -7 ± 12/-15 ± 7 mmHg, respectively) indicated higher risk of dementia (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11-1.93, p = 0.008, and 1.54; 95% CI 1.14-2.08, p = 0.005; respectively) compared with reference group characterised by pronounced BP increase over the same period (1st quartile; +44 ± 13/+15 ± 7 mmHg). Diastolic BP decrease on standing in the middle age, decline in BP between middle-and advanced age, and lower BP in advanced age are independent risk factors of developing dementia.

SUBMITTER: Holm H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5437180 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Longitudinal and postural changes of blood pressure predict dementia: the Malmö Preventive Project.

Holm Hannes H Nägga Katarina K Nilsson Erik D ED Melander Olle O Minthon Lennart L Bachus Erasmus E Fedorowski Artur A Magnusson Martin M

European journal of epidemiology 20170211 4

The role of blood pressure (BP) changes in dementia is debatable. We aimed to analyse how resting and postural BP changes relate to incident dementia over a long-term follow-up. In the prospective population-based Malmö Preventive Project, 18,240 study participants (mean age: 45 ± 7 years, 63% male) were examined between 1974 and 1992 with resting and standing BP measurement, and re-examined between 2002 and 2006 at mean age of 68 ± 6 years with resting BP. A total of 428 participants (2.3%) wer ...[more]

PMID: 28190139

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Project description:The Rationale: Molecular markers of disease activity that are predictive of forced vital capacity (FVC) progression in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis are needed. Objectives: Develop a predictor using longitudinal within-patient gene expression differences (ΔGE) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) to predict of FVC progression. Methods: Patients in the training cohort (n=74) experiencing ≥10% relative reduction in FVC% of predicted over 12 months were categorized as progressors in contrast to the remaining stable patients. Baseline to 4-month within-patient ΔGE were correlated with FVC status. FVC-predictor genes were prioritized by two-group comparison with FDR<5%, logistic LASSO regression with p<0.05, and 10-Fold Cross-Validation with ≥50% support. Receiver operating characteristic with area under the curve (AUC) analyses were conducted in training subsets and independent validation cohorts from UChicago (n=27), UPMC (n=35), and Imperial (n=24) where different transcriptome assay platforms and varying transcriptome sampling times were used to derive ΔGE. Results: Intra-subject Compared to cross-sectional analysis of baseline GE, our longitudinal ΔGE variation approach demonstratedlargely reduced within-group sample variation and increased statistic power fin progressor and stable groups for prediction model development. A 25-gene FVC-predictor separated “progressors” from “stable” by Principal Component Analysis in the training and subsets of the training cohort. The resulting FVC-predictor consistently demonstrated high discriminatory performance independent of transcriptome assay platforms and varying sampling times in validation cohorts (AUC= 0.77-0.80). TGF beta was the highest-ranking canonical pathway by Gene Set Enrichment Analysis. Conclusions: Our novel short-term longitudinal within-patient ΔGE approach identified a FVC-predictor which may reflect disease activity and prove to be a reliable biomarker predictive of future FVC decline.

Dataset Information

Longitudinal and postural changes of blood pressure predict dementia: the Malmo Preventive Project.

Publications

Longitudinal and postural changes of blood pressure predict dementia: the Malmö Preventive Project.

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