Modelling the effects of global climate change on Chikungunya transmission in the 21^st century.

ABSTRACT: The arrival and rapid spread of the mosquito-borne viral disease Chikungunya across the Americas is one of the most significant public health developments of recent years, preceding and mirroring the subsequent spread of Zika. Globalization in trade and travel can lead to the importation of these viruses, but climatic conditions strongly affect the efficiency of transmission in local settings. In order to direct preparedness for future outbreaks, it is necessary to anticipate global regions that could become suitable for Chikungunya transmission. Here, we present global correlative niche models for autochthonous Chikungunya transmission. These models were used as the basis for projections under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios. In a furthe

SUBMITTER: Tjaden NB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5476675 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature