A Flow-Based Model of the HIV Care Continuum in the United States.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Understanding the flow of patients through the continuum of HIV care is critical to determine how best to intervene so that the proportion of HIV-infected persons who are on antiretroviral treatment and virally suppressed is as large as possible.

Methods

Using immunological and virological data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design from 2009 to 2012, we estimated the distribution of time spent in and dropout probability from each stage in the continuum of HIV care. We used these estimates to develop a queueing model for the expected number of patients found in each stage of the cascade.

Results

HIV-infected individuals spend an average of about 3.1 months after HIV diagnos

SUBMITTER: Gonsalves GS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5533168 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature