The impact of human population pressure on flying fox niches and the potential consequences for Hendra virus spillover.

ABSTRACT: Hendra virus (HeV) is an emerging pathogen of concern in Australia given its ability to spillover from its reservoir host, pteropid bats, to horses and further on to humans, and the severe clinical presentation typical in these latter incidental hosts. Specific human pressures over recent decades, such as expanding human populations, urbanization, and forest fragmentation, may have altered the ecological niche of Pteropus species acting as natural HeV reservoirs and may modulate spillover risk. This study explored the influence of inter-decadal net human local migration between 1970 and 2000 on changes in the habitat suitability to P. alecto and P. conspicillatus from 1980 to 2015 in eastern Australia. These ecological niches were modeled using boosted regression trees and subsequently fit

SUBMITTER: Walsh MG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5557840 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature