Projected temperature-related deaths in ten large U.S. metropolitan areas under different climate change scenarios.

ABSTRACT:

Background

There is an established U-shaped association between daily temperature and mortality. Temperature changes projected through the end of century are expected to lead to higher rates of heat-related mortality but also lower rates of cold-related mortality, such that the net change in temperature-related mortality will depend on location.

Objectives

We quantified the change in heat-, cold-, and temperature-related mortality rates through the end of the century across 10 large US metropolitan areas.

Methods

We applied location-specific projections of future temperature from over 40 downscaled climate models to exposure-response functions relating daily temperature and mortality in 10 US metropolitan areas to estimate the change in temperature-related mortality r

SUBMITTER: Weinberger KR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5575805 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature