Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions.

ABSTRACT: In most Mediterranean climate (MedClim) regions around the world, global climate models (GCMs) consistently project drier futures. In California, however, projections of changes in annual precipitation are inconsistent. Analysis of daily precipitation in 30 GCMs reveals patterns in projected hydrometeorology over each of the five MedClm regions globally and helps disentangle their causes. MedClim regions, except California, are expected to dry via decreased frequency of winter precipitation. Frequencies of extreme precipitation, however, are projected to increase over the two MedClim regions of the Northern Hemisphere where projected warming is strongest. The increase in heavy and extreme precipitation is particularly robust over California, where it is only partially offset by projected d

SUBMITTER: Polade SD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5589768 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature