Attribution of global foodborne disease to specific foods: Findings from a World Health Organization structured expert elicitation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Recently the World Health Organization, Foodborne Disease Burden Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG) estimated that 31 foodborne diseases (FBDs) resulted in over 600 million illnesses and 420,000 deaths worldwide in 2010. Knowing the relative role importance of different foods as exposure routes for key hazards is critical to preventing illness. This study reports the findings of a structured expert elicitation providing globally comparable food source attribution estimates for 11 major FBDs in each of 14 world subregions.

Methods and findings

We used Cooke's Classical Model to elicit and aggregate judgments of 73 international experts. Judgments were elicited from each expert individually and aggregated using both equal and performance weights. Performance weight

SUBMITTER: Hoffmann S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5598938 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature