Genetic risk models: Influence of model size on risk estimates and precision.

ABSTRACT: Disease risk estimation plays an important role in disease prevention. Many studies have found that the ability to predict risk improves as the number of risk single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the risk model increases. However, the width of the confidence interval of the risk estimate is often not considered in the evaluation of the risk model. Here, we explore how the risk and the confidence interval width change as more SNPs are added to the model in the order of decreasing effect size, using both simulated data and real data from studies of abdominal aortic aneurysms and age-related macular degeneration. Our results show that confidence interval width is positively correlated with model size and the majority of the bigger models have wider confidence interval widths than smaller

SUBMITTER: Shan Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5628612 | biostudies-literature | 2017 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature