A virtual climate library of surface temperature over North America for 1979-2015.

ABSTRACT: The most comprehensive continuous-coverage modern climatic data sets, known as reanalyses, come from combining state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models with diverse available observations. These reanalysis products estimate the path of climate evolution that actually happened, and their use in a probabilistic context-for example, to document trends in extreme events in response to climate change-is, therefore, limited. Free runs of NWP models without data assimilation can in principle be used for the latter purpose, but such simulations are computationally expensive and are prone to systematic biases. Here we produce a high-resolution, 100-member ensemble simulation of surface atmospheric temperature over North America for the 1979-2015 period using a comprehensive spatia

SUBMITTER: Kravtsov S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5644371 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature