The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900.

ABSTRACT: Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that c

SUBMITTER: Snow RW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5660624 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature