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Predicting high risk births with contraceptive prevalence and contraceptive method-mix in an ecologic analysis.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Increased contraceptive use has been associated with a decrease in high parity births, births that occur close together in time, and births to very young or to older women. These types of births are also associated with high risk of under-five mortality. Previous studies have looked at the change in the level of contraception use and the average change in these types of high-risk births. We aim to predict the distribution of births in a specific country when there is a change in the level and method of modern contraception. METHODS:We used data from full birth histories and modern contraceptive use from 207 nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys covering 71 countries to describe the distribution of births in each survey based on birth order, preceding birth spa

SUBMITTER: Perin J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5688497 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature