Likelihood of changes in forest species suitability, distribution, and diversity under future climate: The case of Southern Europe.

ABSTRACT: Forest conservation strategies and plans can be unsuccessful if the new habitat conditions determined by climate change are not considered. Our work aims at investigating the likelihood of future suitability, distribution and diversity for some common European forest species under the projected changes in climate, focusing on Southern Europe. We combine an Ensemble Platform for Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to five Global Circulation Models (GCMs) driven by two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), to produce maps of future climate-driven habitat suitability for ten categories of forest species and two time horizons. For each forest category and time horizon, ten maps of future distribution (5 GCMs by 2 RCPs) are thus combined in a single suitability map supplied with informat

SUBMITTER: Noce S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5696419 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature