Developing a Machine Learning System for Identification of Severe Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease from Electronic Medical Record Data.

ABSTRACT: Children of severe hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) often present with same clinical features as those of mild HFMD during the early stage, yet later deteriorate rapidly with a fulminant disease course. Our goal was to: (1) develop a machine learning system to automatically identify cases with high risk of severe HFMD at the time of admission; (2) compare the effectiveness of the new system with the existing risk scoring system. Data on 2,532 HFMD children admitted between March 2012 and July 2015, were collected retrospectively from a medical center in China. By applying a holdout strategy and a 10-fold cross validation method, we developed four models with the random forest algorithm using different variable sets. The prediction system HFMD-RF based on the model of 16 variables from

SUBMITTER: Liu G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5703994 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature