A Synthetic Population for Modelling the Dynamics of Infectious Disease Transmission in American Samoa.

ABSTRACT: Agent-based modelling is a useful approach for capturing heterogeneity in disease transmission. In this study, a synthetic population was developed for American Samoa using an iterative approach based on population census, questionnaire survey and land use data. The population will be used as the basis for a new agent-based model, intended specifically to fill the knowledge gaps about lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination, but also to be readily adaptable to model other infectious diseases. The synthetic population was characterized by the statistically realistic population and household structure, and high-resolution geographic locations of households. The population was simulated over 40 years from 2010 to 2050. The simulated population was compared to estimates and projectio

SUBMITTER: Xu Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5711879 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature