Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates.

Methods

We collected observed daily time series of mean temperature and mortality counts for all causes or non-external causes only, in periods ranging from Jan 1, 1984, to Dec 31, 2015, from various locations across the globe through the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network. We estimated temperature-mortality relationships through a two-stage time series design. We generated current and future daily mean temperature serie

SUBMITTER: Gasparrini A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5729020 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature