The effect of future ambient air pollution on human premature mortality to 2100 using output from the ACCMIP model ensemble.

ABSTRACT: Ambient air pollution from ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) is associated with premature mortality. Future concentrations of these air pollutants will be driven by natural and anthropogenic emissions and by climate change. Using anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions projected in the four Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs), the ACCMIP ensemble of chemistry-climate models simulated future concentrations of ozone and PM_2.5 at selected decades between 2000 and 2100. We use output from the ACCMIP ensemble, together with projections of future population and baseline mortality rates, to quantify the human premature mortality impacts of future ambient air pollution. Future air pollution-related premature mortality in 2030, 2050 a

SUBMITTER: Silva RA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5730074 | biostudies-literature | 2016

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature