The association between ambient temperature and mortality in South Africa: A time-series analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

There is an extensive literature describing temperature-mortality associations in developed regions, but research from developing countries, and Africa in particular, is limited.

Methods

We conducted a time-series analysis using daily temperature data and a national dataset of all 8.8 million recorded deaths in South Africa between 1997 and 2013. Mortality and temperature data were linked at the district municipality level and relationships were estimated with a distributed lag non-linear model with 21 days of lag, and pooled in a multivariate meta-analysis.

Results

We found an association between daily maximum temperature and mortality. The relative risk for all-age all-cause mortality on very cold and hot days (1st and 99th percentile of the temperature d

SUBMITTER: Scovronick N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5773242 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature