What is the impact of population ageing on the future provision of end-of-life care? Population-based projections of place of death.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Population ageing represents a global challenge for future end-of-life care. Given new trends in place of death, it is vital to examine where the rising number of deaths will occur in future years and implications for health and social care.

Aim

To project where people will die from 2015 to 2040 across all care settings in England and Wales.

Design

Population-based trend analysis and projections using simple linear modelling. Age- and gender-specific proportions of deaths in hospital, care home, home, hospice and 'other' were applied to numbers of expected future deaths. Setting/population: All deaths (2004-2014) from death registration data and predicted deaths (2015-2040) from official population forecasts in England and Wales.

Results

Annual death

SUBMITTER: Bone AE 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5788077 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature