Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts.

ABSTRACT: Efforts to estimate the physical and economic impacts of future climate change face substantial challenges. To enrich the currently popular approaches to impact analysis-which involve evaluation of a damage function or multi-model comparisons based on a limited number of standardized scenarios-we propose integrating a geospatially resolved physical representation of impacts into a coupled human-Earth system modeling framework. Large internationally coordinated exercises cannot easily respond to new policy targets and the implementation of standard scenarios across models, institutions and research communities can yield inconsistent estimates. Here, we argue for a shift toward the use of a self-consistent integrated modeling framework to assess climate impacts, and discuss ways the integrat

SUBMITTER: Monier E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5811603 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature