Seasonally varying footprint of climate change on precipitation in the Middle East.

ABSTRACT: Climate change is expected to alter precipitation patterns; however, the amplitude of the change may broadly differ across seasons. Combining different seasons may mask contrasting climate change signals in individual seasons, leading to weakened signals and misleading impact results. A realistic assessment of future climate change is of great importance for arid regions, which are more vulnerable to any change in extreme events as their infrastructure is less experienced or not well adapted for extreme conditions. Our results show that climate change signals and associated uncertainties over the Middle East region remarkably vary with seasons. The region is identified as a climate change hotspot where rare extreme precipitation events are expected to intensify for all seasons, with a "hig

SUBMITTER: Tabari H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5849753 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature