Mathematical Modeling for Scrub Typhus and Its Implications for Disease Control.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The incidence rate of scrub typhus has been increasing in the Republic of Korea. Previous studies have suggested that this trend may have resulted from the effects of climate change on the transmission dynamics among vectors and hosts, but a clear explanation of the process is still lacking. In this study, we applied mathematical models to explore the potential factors that influence the epidemiology of tsutsugamushi disease.

Methods

We developed mathematical models of ordinary differential equations including human, rodent and mite groups. Two models, including simple and complex models, were developed, and all parameters employed in the models were adopted from previous articles that represent epidemiological situations in the Republic of Korea.

Results

T

SUBMITTER: Min KD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5852423 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature