Northern protected areas will become important refuges for biodiversity tracking suitable climates.

ABSTRACT: The Northern Biodiversity Paradox predicts that, despite its globally negative effects on biodiversity, climate change will increase biodiversity in northern regions where many species are limited by low temperatures. We assessed the potential impacts of climate change on the biodiversity of a northern network of 1,749 protected areas spread over >600,000 km² in Quebec, Canada. Using ecological niche modeling, we calculated potential changes in the probability of occurrence of 529 species to evaluate the potential impacts of climate change on (1) species gain, loss, turnover, and richness in protected areas, (2) representativity of protected areas, and (3) extent of species ranges located in protected areas. We predict a major species turnover over time, with 49% of total protec

SUBMITTER: Berteaux D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5854666 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature