HIV incidence among people who inject drugs in the Middle East and North Africa: mathematical modelling analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Emerging HIV epidemics have been documented among people who inject drugs (PWID) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). This study estimates the HIV incidence among PWID due to sharing needles/syringes in MENA. It also delineates injecting drug use role as a driver of the epidemic in the population, and estimates impact of interventions.

Methods

A mathematical model of HIV transmission among PWID was applied in seven MENA countries with sufficient and recent epidemiological data and HIV prevalence ≥1% among PWID. Estimations of incident and/or prevalent infections among PWID, ex-PWID and sexual partners of infected current and ex-PWID were conducted.

Results

The estimated HIV incidence rate for 2017 among PWID ranged between 0.7% per person-year (ppy

SUBMITTER: Mumtaz GR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5867334 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature