Macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza and associated policies in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Research has shown the value of conducting a macroeconomic analysis of the impact of influenza pandemics. However, previous modelling applications focus on high-income countries, and there is a lack of evidence concerning the potential impact of an influenza pandemic on lower- and middle-income countries.

Objectives

To estimate the macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza in Thailand, South Africa and Uganda with particular reference to pandemic (H1N1) 2009.

Methods

A single-country whole-economy Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model was set up for each of the three countries in question and used to estimate the economic impact of declines in labour attributable to morbidity, mortality and school closure.

Results

Overall GDP impacts were less

SUBMITTER: Smith RD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5909395 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature