The non-linear and lagged short-term relationship between rainfall and leptospirosis and the intermediate role of floods in the Philippines.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Leptospirosis is a worldwide bacterial zoonosis. Outbreaks of leptospirosis after heavy rainfall and flooding have been reported. However, few studies have formally quantified the effect of weather factors on leptospirosis incidence. We estimated the association between rainfall and leptospirosis cases in an urban setting in Manila, the Philippines, and examined the potential intermediate role of floods in this association.

Methods/principal findings

Relationships between rainfall and the weekly number of hospital admissions due to leptospirosis from 2001 to 2012 were analyzed using a distributed lag non-linear model in a quasi-Poisson regression framework, controlling for seasonally varying factors other than rainfall. The role of floods on the rainfall-leptospir

SUBMITTER: Matsushita N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5919665 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature