Dataset Information

Association between Precipitation and Diarrheal Disease in Mozambique.

ABSTRACT: Diarrheal diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Africa. Although research documents the magnitude and pattern of diarrheal diseases are associated with weather in particular locations, there is limited quantification of this association in sub-Saharan Africa and no studies conducted in Mozambique. Our study aimed to determine whether variation in diarrheal disease was associated with precipitation in Mozambique. In secondary analyses we investigated the associations between temperature and diarrheal disease. We obtained weekly time series data for weather and diarrheal disease aggregated at the administrative district level for 1997-2014. Weather data include modeled estimates of precipitation and temperature. Diarrheal disease counts are confirmed clinical episodes reported to the Mozambique Ministry of Health (n = 7,315,738). We estimated the association between disease counts and precipitation, defined as the number of wet days (precipitation > 1 mm) per week, for the entire country and for Mozambique's four regions. We conducted time series regression analyses using an unconstrained distributed lag Poisson model adjusted for time, maximum temperature, and district. Temperature was similarly estimated with adjusted covariates. Using a four-week lag, chosen a priori, precipitation was associated with diarrheal disease. One additional wet day per week was associated with a 1.86% (95% CI: 1.05-2.67%), 1.37% (95% CI: 0.70-2.04%), 2.09% (95% CI: 1.01-3.18%), and 0.63% (95% CI: 0.11-1.14%) increase in diarrheal disease in Mozambique's northern, central, southern, and coastal regions, respectively. Our study indicates a strong association between diarrheal disease and precipitation. Diarrheal disease prevention efforts should target areas forecast to experience increased rainfall. The burden of diarrheal disease may increase with increased precipitation associated with climate change, unless additional health system interventions are undertaken.

SUBMITTER: Horn LM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5923751 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association between Precipitation and Diarrheal Disease in Mozambique.

Horn Lindsay M LM Hajat Anjum A Sheppard Lianne L Quinn Colin C Colborn James J Zermoglio Maria Fernanda MF Gudo Eduardo S ES Marrufo Tatiana T Ebi Kristie L KL

International journal of environmental research and public health 20180410 4

Diarrheal diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Africa. Although research documents the magnitude and pattern of diarrheal diseases are associated with weather in particular locations, there is limited quantification of this association in sub-Saharan Africa and no studies conducted in Mozambique. Our study aimed to determine whether variation in diarrheal disease was associated with precipitation in Mozambique. In secondary analyses we investigated the associations between ...[more]

PMID: 29642611

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Project description:Background Previous studies suggest a relationship between precipitation and ocular toxoplasmosis (OT) reactivation and congenital toxoplasmosis infection. We aimed to investigate the relationship between precipitation and the frequency of new OT cases in Colombia from 2015 to 2019. Methodology This retrospective cohort study analyzed data obtained from a claims-based database created by the Colombian Ministry of Health and national registries of precipitation of the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies. We estimated the daily number of OT cases, interpolating data from the average number of annual cases from 2015 to 2019. Then, we compared exposures (mean daily precipitation) in the case period in which the events (interpolated OT new cases) occurred by a quasi-Poisson regression, combined with a distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the non-linear and lag–response curve. Principal findings In the 5-year analysis, there were 1,741 new OT cases. Most of the cases occurred in 2019, followed by 2015 and 2018. New OT cases among departments were significantly different (P< 0.01). The cumulative exposure-response curve was decreasing for most departments. Nevertheless, in Chocó, Bogotá, Cesar, Cauca, and Guajira, when a certain amount of precipitation accumulates, the relative risk (RR) increases, which was contrary to the pattern observed in the other regions. The response curves to the one-day lag showed that precipitation influences the RR; however, the trends vary by department. Finally, an increasing trend in the number of cases was directly proportional to precipitation in Guajira, Atlántico, Norte de Santander, Santander, Caquetá and Quindío (r = 0.84; P< 0.05). Conclusions Precipitation influenced the RR for new OT cases. However, varying trends among geographical regions (departments) lead us to hypothesize that other sociodemographic, behavioral, and environmental variables, such as wind and water contamination, could influence the RR. Author summary We analyzed data obtained from the Colombian Ministry of Health and the national meteorology center to determine the effect of precipitation on the new cases of ocular toxoplasmosis (OT). The number of interpolated daily cases was estimated and compared with the exposure (precipitation) by a quasi-Poisson regression, combined with a distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the lag, non-linear response curve, and a Pearson correlation test. In the 5-year study period, 1,741 new cases of OT were reported. We found significant differences in the trends among all departments, with most departments showing decreasing cumulative exposure-response curves. However, in Chocó, Bogotá, Cesar, Cauca, and Guajira, when a certain amount of precipitation accumulates, the relative risk (RR) increases, contrary to the pattern observed in the rest of the country. The response curves at one-day lag showed that precipitation influences the RR; however, trends vary by department. We found a positive correlation between the number of cases and precipitation (β = 0.03; P< 0.05), indicating that precipitation affects the RR of new cases of OT. However, inconsistent trends exist across geographical regions, leading us to hypothesize that other sociodemographic, behavioral, and environmental variables, such as wind and water contamination, might influence the RR.

Project description:Invasive fungal infections (IFIs) are opportunistic, especially in immunocompromised and hospitalized patients. Children with IFIs are more vulnerable to a fatal outcome. For early diagnosis and treatment, knowledge of the spectrum and frequency of IFIs among children is prerequisite. In this prospective observational study, we enrolled 168 children of 2-59 months old of either sex from March 2018 to December 2019 admitted to the Dhaka hospital, icddr,b. Study participants with suspected IFIs were with or without severe acute malnutrition (SAM) along with sepsis/pneumonia and fulfilled any of the following criteria: (i) failure to respond to injectable antibiotics, (ii) development of a late-onset hospital-acquired infection, (iii) needed ICU care for >7 days, (iv) took steroids/antibiotics for >2 weeks before hospitalization, and (v) developed thrush after taking injectable antibiotics. The comparison group included non-SAM (weight-for-length Z score ≥ -2) children with diarrhea and fever <3 days in the absence of co-morbidity. We performed real-time PCR, ELISA, and blood culture for the detection of fungal pathogen. Study group children with SAM, positive ELISA and PCR considered to have a IFIs. In the study group, 15/138 (10.87%) children had IFIs. Among IFIs, invasive candidiasis, aspergillosis, histoplasmosis detected in 6 (4.53%), 11 (7.97%), and 1 (0.72%) children, respectively, and (3/15 [2.17%]) children had both candidiasis and aspergillosis. Children with IFIs more often encountered septic shock (26.7% vs. 4.9%; p = 0.013) and had a higher death rate (46.7% vs. 8.9%; p < 0.001) than those without IFIs. IFIs were independently associated with female sex (OR = 3.48; 95% CI = 1.05, 11.55; p = 0.042) after adjusting for potential confounders. Our findings thus implicate that, malnourished children with septic shock require targeted screening for the early diagnosis and prompt management of IFIs that may help to reduce IFIs related deaths.

Project description:While several studies proved the relationship between increasing temperatures and poor mental health, limited evidence exists on the effect of other weather factors, such as precipitation. This study assessed the impact of precipitation on hospital admissions for mental disorders in Switzerland between 2009-2019. We defined different precipitation events based on the duration (daily precipitation ≥1mm for 2, 3, or 4 days; PP.2/PP.3/PP.4) and intensity (≥90th percentile for 2 consecutive days; PEP90.2). First, we conducted aggregated time-stratified case-crossover analysis in eight main Swiss cities with distributed lag models to assess the association up to 3 days after the exposure. Then, we pooled the estimates in each city using a multivariate random effects meta-analysis for all hospital admissions and by subgroups (sex, age, diagnosis). Evidence of an association between precipitation and hospital admission for mental disorders was not found in Switzerland (PP.2: 1.003[0.978-1.029]; PP.3: 1.005[0.985-1.026]; PP.4: 0.994[0.960-1.030]; PEP90.2: 1.000[0.953-1.050]). Although the results were highly uncertain, we found an indication of increasing risks of hospital admission with increasing intensity of precipitation in warmer seasons (PP.2: 1.001[0.971-1.032] vs PEP90.2: 1.014[0.955-1.078]), while the risks of hospital admission slightly increased by the duration in colder season (PP.2: 1.009[0.981-1.039]; PP.3: 1.008[0.980-1.036]; PP.4: 1.017[0.956-1.081]). Overall, risks tend to be higher in people aged < 65 years. Duration of the events may influence more than intensity in females, while opposite patterns were observed in males. Risks tended to be larger but still uncertain for schizophrenia, mood disorders, and adult personality disorders. An indication of a negative association was found in neurotic disorders and null risks in the remaining groups. Although our findings did not show a clear association between precipitation and mental disorders, further research is required to clarify the role of precipitation and the potential implications of climate change and extreme precipitation events on mental health.

Project description:Importance. Biological markers of Parkinson’s disease are essential for achieving disease modification. Objective. To determine the association of SNCA blood transcript levels with prevalence of Parkinson’s disease. Background. The SNCA locus is preferentially transcribed in neurons and blood cells. Non-coding genetic variants and neuronal aggregates of α-synuclein protein associate this locus with sporadic Parkinson’s disease and suggest a potential role for abnormal SNCA transcription in the disease mechanism. Here we investigated variation in intracellular SNCA gene expression and SNCA transcript isoform abundance in circulating blood cells of cases with PD and controls in a network of biobanks that represent regional, national, and international populations. Design, Setting, Participants. Three cross-sectional, case-control studies nested in observational biomarker studies. 222 cases with early-stage clinical PD and 183 controls were enrolled from 2005 to 2010 in the Harvard Biomarker Study (HBS) at two Harvard-affiliated tertiary care centers. 76 cases with dopamine transporter imaging (DAT)-confirmed PD and 42 controls were enrolled between August 2007 and December 2008 in the Blood α-Synuclein, Gene Expression and Smell Testing as Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers in Parkinson’s Disease Study (PROBE) study from 22 US tertiary care centers. 202 DAT-confirmed cases with de novo PD and 138 controls were enrolled in the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) between July 2010 and November 2012 from 22 US and international tertiary care centers. Main Outcome Measures. Association of intracellular SNCA transcript abundance with PD estimated on analog and digital expression platforms. Results. Reduced levels of SNCA transcripts were associated with early-stage clinical PD, neuroimaging-confirmed PD, and untreated, neuroimaging-confirmed PD in accessible, peripheral blood cells from a total of 863 individuals. SNCA expression was reduced by 17%, 22%, and 16% in cases compared to controls in the HBS, PROBE, and PPMI study with P values of 0.004, 0.025, and 0.018, respectively, after adjusting for clinical, hematological, and processing covariates. Specific SNCA transcripts with long 3’ untranslated regions (UTR) and those skipping exon 5 are implicated in the accumulation and mitochondrial targeting of α-synuclein protein in Parkinson’s pathology. These transcript isoforms were linked to PD through digital expression analysis. Individuals in the lowest quartile of SNCA expression values had covariate-adjusted odds ratios for PD of 2.14 (95% C. I. 1.1-4.1), 4.5 (95% C. I. 1.3-15), and 2.1 (1.1-4.0) compared to individuals in the highest quartile of expression values in the HBS, PROBE, and PPMI study, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance. Reduced levels of SNCA expression, particularly of disease-relevant transcripts with extended 3’ UTR or exon 5 skipping, are associated with early-stage PD. These findings support a potential role for SNCA as a transcriptional marker of PD and may have implications for patient stratification and risk assessment.

Dataset Information

Association between Precipitation and Diarrheal Disease in Mozambique.

Publications

Association between Precipitation and Diarrheal Disease in Mozambique.

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