Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Estimates of influenza-associated mortality are important for national and international decision making on public health priorities. Previous estimates of 250 000-500 000 annual influenza deaths are outdated. We updated the estimated number of global annual influenza-associated respiratory deaths using country-specific influenza-associated excess respiratory mortality estimates from 1999-2015.

Methods

We estimated country-specific influenza-associated respiratory excess mortality rates (EMR) for 33 countries using time series log-linear regression models with vital death records and influenza surveillance data. To extrapolate estimates to countries without data, we divided countries into three analytic divisions for three age groups (<65 years, 65-74 years, and ≥

SUBMITTER: Iuliano AD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5935243 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature