A novel early risk assessment tool for detecting clinical outcomes in patients with heat-related illness (J-ERATO score): Development and validation in independent cohorts in Japan.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We sought to develop a novel risk assessment tool to predict the clinical outcomes after heat-related illness.

Methods

Prospective, multicenter observational study. Patients who transferred to emergency hospitals in Japan with heat-related illness were registered. The sample was divided into two parts: 60% to construct the score and 40% to validate it. A binary logistic regression model was used to predict hospital admission as a primary outcome. The resulting model was transformed into a scoring system.

Results

A total of 3,001 eligible patients were analyzed. There was no difference in variables between development and validation cohorts. Based on the result of a logistic regression model in the development phase (n = 1,805), the J-ERATO score was defined

SUBMITTER: Hayashida K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5942769 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature