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Herd Immunity to Ebolaviruses Is Not a Realistic Target for Current Vaccination Strategies.


ABSTRACT: The recent West African Ebola virus pandemic, which affected >28,000 individuals increased interest in anti-Ebolavirus vaccination programs. Here, we systematically analyzed the requirements for a prophylactic vaccination program based on the basic reproductive number (R0, i.e., the number of secondary cases that result from an individual infection). Published R0 values were determined by systematic literature research and ranged from 0.37 to 20. R0s ≥ 4 realistically reflected the critical early outbreak phases and superspreading events. Based on the R0, the herd immunity threshold (Ic) was calculated using the equation Ic = 1 - (1/R0). The critical vaccination cov

SUBMITTER: Masterson SG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5954026 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature