Projecting shifts in thermal habitat for 686 species on the North American continental shelf.

ABSTRACT: Recent shifts in the geographic distribution of marine species have been linked to shifts in preferred thermal habitats. These shifts in distribution have already posed challenges for living marine resource management, and there is a strong need for projections of how species might be impacted by future changes in ocean temperatures during the 21st century. We modeled thermal habitat for 686 marine species in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans using long-term ecological survey data from the North American continental shelves. These habitat models were coupled to output from sixteen general circulation models that were run under high (RCP 8.5) and low (RCP 2.6) future greenhouse gas emission scenarios over the 21st century to produce 32 possible future outcomes for each species. The models gen

SUBMITTER: Morley JW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5955691 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature