Projected Changes in Temperature-related Morbidity and Mortality in Southern New England.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Climate change is expected to result in more heat-related, but potentially fewer cold-related, emergency department visits and deaths. The net effect of projected changes in temperature on morbidity and mortality remains incompletely understood. We estimated the change in temperature-related morbidity and mortality at two sites in southern New England, United States, through the end of the 21st century. METHODS:We used distributed lag Poisson regression models to estimate the present-day associations between daily mean temperature and all-cause emergency department visits and deaths in Rhode Island and in Boston, Massachusetts. We estimated the change in temperature-related visits and deaths in 2045-2054 and 2085-2094 (relative to 2001-2010) under two greenhouse gas emissions sc

SUBMITTER: Weinberger KR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5980746 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature