Global assessment of early warning signs that temperature could undergo regime shifts.

ABSTRACT: Climate change metrics have been used to quantify the exposure of geographic areas to different facets of change and relate these facets to different threats and opportunities for biodiversity at a global scale. In parallel, a suite of indicators have been developed to detect approaching transitions between alternative stable states in ecological systems at a local scale. Here, we explore whether particular geographic areas over the world display evidence for upcoming critical transitions in the temperature regime using five Early Warning Indicators (EWIs) commonly used in the literature. Although all EWIs revealed strong spatial variations regarding the likelihood of approaching transitions we found differences regarding the strength and the distribution of trends across the world, sugges

SUBMITTER: Chevalier M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6030089 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature