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Estimation of the individual residual risk of cervical cancer after vaccination with the nonavalent HPV vaccine.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The nonavalent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine is indicated for active immunisation of individuals from the age of 9 years against cervical, vulvar, vaginal and anal premalignant lesions and cancers causally related to vaccine HPV high risk types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52 and 58, and to the HPV low risk types 6 and 11, causing genital warts. OBJECTIVE:To estimate the lifetime risk (up to the age of 75 years) for developing cervical cancer after vaccinating a HPV naïve girl (e.g. 9 to 12 years old) with the 9vHPV vaccine in the hypothetical absence of cervical cancer screening. METHODS:We built Monte Carlo simulation models using historical pre-screening age-specific cancer incidence data and current mortality data from Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden and the UK. Estimates of genotype contribu

SUBMITTER: Petry KU 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6067852 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature