Climate drivers of vector-borne diseases in Africa and their relevance to control programmes.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Climate-based disease forecasting has been proposed as a potential tool in climate change adaptation for the health sector. Here we explore the relevance of climate data, drivers and predictions for vector-borne disease control efforts in Africa.

Methods

Using data from a number of sources we explore rainfall and temperature across the African continent, from seasonality to variability at annual, multi-decadal and timescales consistent with climate change. We give particular attention to three regions defined as WHO-TDR study zones in Western, Eastern and Southern Africa. Our analyses include 1) time scale decomposition to establish the relative importance of year-to-year, decadal and long term trends in rainfall and temperature; 2) the impact of the El Niño South

SUBMITTER: Thomson MC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6085673 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature