Neighbourhood level real-time forecasting of dengue cases in tropical urban Singapore.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Dengue, a vector-borne infectious disease caused by the dengue virus, has spread through tropical and subtropical regions of the world. All four serotypes of dengue viruses are endemic in the equatorial city state of Singapore, and frequent localised outbreaks occur, sometimes leading to national epidemics. Vector control remains the primary and most effective measure for dengue control and prevention. The objective of this study is to develop a novel framework for producing a spatio-temporal dengue forecast at a neighbourhood level spatial resolution that can be routinely used by Singapore's government agencies for planning of vector control for best efficiency.

Methods

The forecasting algorithm uses a mixture of purely spatial, purely temporal and spatio-tempora

SUBMITTER: Chen Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6091171 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature