Predictions of Preterm Birth from Early Pregnancy Characteristics: Born in Guangzhou Cohort Study.

ABSTRACT: Preterm birth (PTB, <37 weeks) is the leading cause of death in children <5 years of age. Early risk prediction for PTB would enable early monitoring and intervention. However, such prediction models have been rarely reported, especially in low- and middle-income areas. We used data on a number of easily accessible predictors during early pregnancy from 9044 women in Born in Guangzhou Cohort Study, China to generate prediction models for overall PTB and spontaneous, iatrogenic, late (34⁻36 weeks), and early (<34 weeks) PTB. Models were constructed using the Cox proportional hazard model, and their performance was evaluated by Harrell's c and D statistics and calibration plot. We further performed a systematic review to identify published models and validated them in our population. Our new

SUBMITTER: He JR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6111770 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature