Different multi-year mean temperature in mid-summer of South China under different 1.5 °C warming scenarios.

ABSTRACT: The Paris Agreement proposed a goal of "pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels". The Community Earth System Model, version 1, with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CESM1-CAM5), designed a set of experiments that fulfilled the 1.5 °C warming goal. By analyzing the outputs, this study aims to present projections associated with warming in South China (SC). Interestingly, if the global mean temperature (GMT) overshoots to 1.7 °C above the pre-industrial levels in 2050 and back to 1.5 °C by 2100, additional warming in the SC mid-summer will occur when approaching 2100 compared to that in the scenario under which the GMT stabilizes at an increase of 1.5 °C after the mid-2040 s. In the final 1 to 3 decades of 21^st century in

SUBMITTER: Qu X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6138630 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature