Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Zika virus (ZIKV) emerged in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region in 2013, with serious implications for population health in the region. In 2016, the World Health Organization declared the ZIKV outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern following a cluster of associated neurological disorders and neonatal malformations. In 2017, Zika cases declined, but future incidence in LAC remains uncertain due to gaps in our understanding, considerable variation in surveillance and the lack of a comprehensive collation of data from affected countries.

Methods

Our analysis combines information on confirmed and suspected Zika cases across LAC countries and a spatio-temporal dynamic transmission model for ZIKV infection to determine key transmission par

SUBMITTER: O'Reilly KM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6169075 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature