Chagas disease mortality in Brazil: A Bayesian analysis of age-period-cohort effects and forecasts for two decades.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Chagas disease (CD) is a neglected chronic parasitic infection and a public health problem that is preventable, and has serious complications. In this study, the effects of age, period and birth cohort (APC Effects) on the evolution of the mortality of that disease in Brazil, from 1980-2014, according to sex and geographic region of the country, were analyzed. Mortality forecasts from the years 2015 to 2034 were estimated.

Methods

This is an ecological cross-sectional study in which death records and population data were extracted from the DATASUS (Department of Information Technology of the National Health System) website, in age groups from 20-24 years of age to 80 years and over, from 1980 to 2014. The rates were standardized according to age and sex distributi

SUBMITTER: Simoes TC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6179299 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature