Demographic supply-demand imbalance in industrial structure in the super-aged nation Japan.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Japan has a rapidly decreasing population, with ultra-low fertility and extremely fast aging. The rapid dynamics constitute a warning that change in the industrial structure may be unable to meet the changing pace of age-dependent demand.

Methods

The present study estimated the supply-demand imbalance by industrial sector, and we investigated the effectiveness of possible countermeasures. To quantify the demographic burden of different industry experts, we employed the dependency ratio to calculate the supply and demand of each industrial sector and occupation.

Results

We identified an expected excess of demand in the health-care sector; the growth in that deficiency is likely to continue until 2045, when the elderly population is likely to reach a peak. By

SUBMITTER: Kishida N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6211503 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature