Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Tobacco control efforts implemented in the United States since the 1960s have led to considerable reductions in smoking and smoking-related diseases, including lung cancer.

Objective

To project reductions in tobacco use and lung cancer mortality from 2015 to 2065 due to existing tobacco control efforts.

Design

Comparative modeling approach using 4 simulation models of the natural history of lung cancer that explicitly relate temporal smoking patterns to lung cancer rates.

Setting

U.S. population, 1964 to 2065.

Participants

Adults aged 30 to 84 years.

Measurements

Models were developed using U.S. data on smoking (1964 to 2015) and lung cancer mortality (1969 to 2010). Each model projected lung cancer mortality by smoking status under the

SUBMITTER: Jeon J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6242740 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature