Predictive validity of the CriSTAL tool for short-term mortality in older people presenting at Emergency Departments: a prospective study.

ABSTRACT:

Abstract

To determine the validity of the Australian clinical prediction tool Criteria for Screening and Triaging to Appropriate aLternative care (CRISTAL) based on objective clinical criteria to accurately identify risk of death within 3 months of admission among older patients.

Methods

Prospective study of ≥ 65 year-olds presenting at emergency departments in five Australian (Aus) and four Danish (DK) hospitals. Logistic regression analysis was used to model factors for death prediction; Sensitivity, specificity, area under the ROC curve and calibration with bootstrapping techniques were used to describe predictive accuracy.

Results

2493 patients, with median age 78-80 years (DK-Aus). The deceased had significantly higher mean CriSTAL with Australian mean of 8.1 (95

SUBMITTER: Cardona M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6267649 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature