Optimal control of irrupting pest populations in a climate-driven ecosystem.

ABSTRACT: Irruptions of small consumer populations, driven by pulsed resources, can lead to adverse effects including the decline of indigenous species or increased disease spread. Broad-scale pest management to combat such effects benefits from forecasting of irruptions and an assessment of the optimal control conditions for minimising consumer abundance. We use a climate-based consumer-resource model to predict irruptions of a pest species (Mus musculus) population in response to masting (episodic synchronous seed production) and extend this model to account for broad-scale pest control of mice using toxic bait. The extended model is used to forecast the magnitude and frequency of pest irruptions under low, moderate and high control levels, and for different timings of control operations. I

SUBMITTER: Holland EP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6304269 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature