Altimeter-era emergence of the patterns of forced sea-level rise in climate models and implications for the future.

ABSTRACT: The satellite altimeter record has provided an unprecedented database for understanding sea-level rise and has recently reached a major milestone at 25 years in length. A challenge now exists in understanding its broader significance and its consequences for sea-level rise in the coming decades and beyond. A key question is whether the pattern of altimeter-era change is representative of longer-term trends driven by anthropogenic forcing. In this work, two multimember climate ensembles, the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and the Earth System Model Version 2M (ESM2M), are used to estimate patterns of forced change [also known as the forced response (FR)] and their magnitudes relative to internal variability. It is found that the spatial patterns of 1993-2018 trends in the ensembles cor

SUBMITTER: Fasullo JT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6304977 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature