Forecasting and predicting intussusception in children younger than 48 months in Suzhou using a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

The aims of this study were to highlight some epidemiological aspects of intussusception cases younger than 48 months and to develop a forecasting model for the occurrence of intussusception in children younger than 48 months in Suzhou.

Design

A retrospective study of intussusception cases that occurred between January 2007 and December 2017.

Setting

Retrospective chart reviews of intussusception paediatric patients in a large Children's hospital in South-East China were performed.

Participants

The hospital records of 13 887 intussusception cases in patients younger than 48 months were included in this study.

Interventions

The modelling process was conducted using the appropriate module in SPSS V.23.0.

Methods

The Box-Jenkins approach wa

SUBMITTER: Guo WL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6340449 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature