Spatial and temporal projections of the prevalence of active tuberculosis in Cambodia.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Cambodia is among the 30 highest burden of tuberculosis (TB) countries. Active TB prevalence has been estimated using nationally representative multistage sampling that represents urban, rural and remote parts of the country, but the prevalence in non-sampled communes remains unknown. This study uses geospatial Bayesian statistics to estimate point prevalence across Cambodia, and demographic modelling that accounts for secular trends in fertility, mortality, urbanisation and prevalence rates to project the future burden of active TB.

Methods

A Bayesian hierarchical model was developed for the 2011 National Tuberculosis Prevalence survey to estimate the differential effect of age, sex and geographic stratum on active TB prevalence; these estimates were then marri

SUBMITTER: Prem K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6347953 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature