Fully electric and plug-in hybrid cars - An analysis of learning rates, user costs, and costs for mitigating CO₂ and air pollutant emissions.

ABSTRACT: This article presents experience curves and cost-benefit analyses for electric and plug-in hybrid cars sold in Germany. We find that between 2010 and 2016, the prices and price differentials relative to conventional cars declined at learning rates of 23 ± 2% and 32 ± 2% for electric cars and 6 ± 1% and 37 ± 2% for plug-in hybrids. If trends persist, price beak-even with conventional cars may be reached after another 7 ± 1 million electric cars and 5 ± 1 million plug-in hybrids are produced. The user costs of electric and plug-in hybrid cars relative to their conventional counterparts are declining annually by 14% and 26%. Also the costs for mitigating CO₂ and air pollutant emissions through the deployment of electrified cars tend to decline. However, at current levels, NO_X<

SUBMITTER: Weiss M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6358050 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature